Even though they’ve struggled for the majority of the last 10 seasons, the Detroit Lions have always managed to put points on the scoreboard. However, last Sunday, their streak of consecutive games without being shut out ended at 179. The Lions will attempt to get their offense back on track when they host the Houston Texans on Thursday as part of the NFL Thanksgiving Day 2020 festivities. Kickoff from Ford Field is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET.
Detroit (4-6) suffered a 20-0 loss at Carolina in Week 11, marking the first time the club has been blanked since falling 26-0 in Green Bay on Oct. 18, 2009. The Texans (3-7), who have allowed at least 31 points in five games this season, are coming off a 27-20 home victory over New England. Houston is a three-point favorite in the latest Texans vs. Lions odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is 51. Before locking in any Lions vs. Texans picks, make sure you see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 19-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $800. The model also enters Week 12 on an incredible 115-75 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Lions vs. Texans spread: Houston -3
- Lions vs. Texans over-under: 51 points
- Lions vs. Texans money line: Houston -175, Detroit +155
- HOU: Texans are 1-4 against the spread on the road this season
- DET: All three of the Lions’ losses in the series have been by fewer than eight points
Why the Texans can cover
With Hopkins now displaying his talents in Arizona, quarterback Deshaun Watson has spread the ball around, as three Houston wideouts have 38 or more receptions. Will Fuller V and Brandin Cooks lead the way with 47 catches apiece, while the former tops the Texans in both yards (708) and touchdown receptions (six).
Cooks, fellow newcomer Randall Cobb and tight end Darren Fells each have hauled in three TD passes, while wide receiver Keke Coutee became the ninth member of the team with a scoring reception this year last Sunday, making the list with his first touchdown catch since Week 5 of the 2018 season.
Fuller has at least five catches in three straight games and owns four 100-yard performances this year. Cooks has amassed at least six receptions and 80 yards on four occasions.
Why the Lions can cover
Life can only get better this week for Matthew Stafford, who had his worst performance of 2020 in the shutout loss to the Panthers. The 2009 first overall draft pick recorded a season-low 178 passing yards and failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time this year. Stafford has faced the Texans twice in his career, passing for 681 yards and three TDs with no interceptions.
Marvin Jones Jr. has been Detroit’s top wide receiver and leads the team with 455 yards and five touchdown receptions. The 30-year-old, who made four catches for 51 yards against Carolina, hauled in a scoring pass in three consecutive contests prior to Week 11. The Lions gained just 40 yards on the ground versus the Panthers, but should have more success on Thursday since they face the NFL’s 32nd-ranked run defense (159.3 yards per game).
How to make Texans vs. Lions picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total. In fact, it says neither starting quarterback throws two touchdown passes. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texans vs. Lions on NFL Thanksgiving Day 2020? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lions vs. Texans spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.